I bet a few forecasters are red-faced at the moment, following on from the sensationalist headlines in some of the tabloids predicting an early freeze in October the opposite has happened with October 2011 being one of the warmest since records began.
Here in Hawley the mean temperature for the month was 13.0C, 2C warmer than last October but not as warm as 2007 where I recorded 13.7C.
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| Bonfire night could be wet |
As we start the final month of Autumn the thermometer continues to be above average for this time of year and in the next two weeks we annualise on the start of last years record-breaking freeze that lasted until Christmas.
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| 20th Sept |
So what's going to happen this month?
Well for a start Bonfire night looks like it could be cool and showery as we see a more mobile weather hitting us from the South West which looks likely to take us to mid-month, after that there are indications appearing in the computer forecasting models of a major pattern change that could open the door to arctic air flooding the UK and giving us the first taste of winter.
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Autumn leaves
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Its by no means certain though as many parts of Scandinavia are much warmer than this time last year so there isn't currently a big pool of cold air to tap into, but this could and is likely to change rapidly over the next few weeks, so if you're a cold weather and snow fan these are interesting times.
So get out and enjoy the unseasonably warm weather and take in the beautiful autumn colours before all the leaves have dropped!
Hawley weather
2011/2012 Winter Forecast
